The New Saints vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
2.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 3
TNS
12%
22%
66%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
TNS
10%
21%
69%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 1
TNS
15%
24%
61%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
TNS
6 - 0
BRY
87%
9%
4%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 1
AIR
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 3
TNS
12%
22%
66%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 3
AIR
38%
25%
36%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
LID
3 - 2
NEW
48%
25%
28%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 2
RHY
41%
22%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAN
11%
19%
71%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | +1 |