The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 2
TNS
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
CON
71%
17%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 6
TNS
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
BAN
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
TNS
7 - 1
HOL
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 1
HAV
59%
21%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HAV
2 - 1
BAN
29%
25%
47%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
HAV
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 0
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
HAV
4 - 1
ABE
16%
20%
65%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +2 |