The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ABE
0 - 4
TNS
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 1
HAV
80%
13%
7%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 2
TNS
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
CON
71%
17%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 6
TNS
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 2
BAL
16%
23%
61%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 1
HAV
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 1
HAV
59%
21%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HAV
2 - 1
BAN
29%
25%
47%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
HAV
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |