The New Saints vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 4
TNS
8%
16%
76%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
TNS
5 - 1
CEF
90%
8%
2%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 4
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
TNS
3 - 1
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TNS
3 - 2
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 1
RTW
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 2
HOL
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HOL
3 - 0
GUI
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 0
GRE
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 1
GUI
12%
19%
69%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -1 |