Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 3-0
The New Saints vs FK Panevėžys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 3
TNS
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FLI
1 - 4
TNS
32%
24%
44%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
TNS
0 - 0
PET
41%
23%
37%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
PET
1 - 0
TNS
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TNS
5 - 1
FLI
65%
17%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DAI
1 - 1
PAN
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 3
TNS
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
MTA
3 - 0
PAN
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
ZAL
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 2
MTA
27%
25%
49%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |