The New Saints vs Denbigh Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
TNS
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
TNS
4 - 1
NEW
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 2
TNS
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
TNS
1 - 1
BAL
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
TNS
1 - 1
ABE
68%
18%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
DEN
2 - 0
POR
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 3
DEN
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
CAE
7 - 1
DEN
70%
17%
12%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
6 - 1
DEN
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
HOL
2 - 1
DEN
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |