The New Saints vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 2
TNS
29%
23%
49%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
TNS
1 - 0
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 6
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 1
TNS
42%
23%
35%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
TNS
4 - 1
CAE
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
BAL
41%
26%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 6
CON
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CON
0 - 2
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 5
CON
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |