The New Saints vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 4
TNS
19%
23%
59%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 0
TNS
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +9 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TNS
5 - 1
CEF
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
TNS
3 - 0
BAL
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
TNS
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CON
6 - 1
BAN
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CON
3 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 1
CON
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
CEF
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -2 |