The New Saints vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CON
0 - 3
TNS
23%
22%
55%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +12 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
TNS
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 5
TNS
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TNS
3 - 2
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CON
0 - 3
TNS
23%
22%
55%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
BAN
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
TNS
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
70%
20%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |