The New Saints vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
AIR
2 - 1
TNS
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TNS
3 - 0
LID
87%
9%
4%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
RHY
0 - 2
TNS
27%
26%
48%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AIR
1 - 1
TNS
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TNS
6 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CON
1 - 3
RHY
53%
22%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 3
CON
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 3
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
BAN
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
RHY
2 - 0
CON
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |