The New Saints vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
AIR
0 - 12
TNS
10%
17%
73%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 0
ABE
84%
11%
5%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
TNS
27%
23%
50%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
TNS
1 - 0
BAL
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 3
TNS
6%
14%
80%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
BAL
23%
24%
54%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
CEF
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
40%
23%
37%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |