The New Saints vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 2
RHY
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LLA
3 - 4
TNS
21%
24%
54%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
HAV
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ABE
0 - 4
TNS
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 1
HAV
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CON
4 - 0
CAR
45%
25%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 3
AIR
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 2
CAR
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
POR
42%
24%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 1
HAV
59%
21%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |