The New Saints vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TNS
4 - 1
BAN
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
TNS
2 - 0
AIR
56%
21%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AIR
1 - 1
TNS
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAR
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
TNS
1 - 1
AIR
56%
22%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
AIR
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BAN
3 - 1
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
RHY
4 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAR
69%
17%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |