The New Saints vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
92
1º
1º
1º
39
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
92 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 8
TNS
37%
24%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 5
TNS
17%
19%
64%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
TNS
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
TNS
3 - 0
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FAL
0 - 1
TNS
40%
23%
37%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 2
COL
68%
19%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAE
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAR
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAE
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |