The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TNS
4 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 3
TNS
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
TNS
3 - 0
CAE
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 0
PON
78%
15%
8%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 5
TNS
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 2
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 3
CAE
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
TNS
3 - 0
CAE
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 0
FLI
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |