The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
TNS
1 - 4
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 2
TNS
29%
23%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
TNS
1 - 0
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 6
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 1
TNS
42%
23%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAE
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 2
TNS
29%
23%
49%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BAL
5 - 2
CAE
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 6
CON
42%
26%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 1
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |