The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
FLI
0 - 6
TNS
10%
17%
73%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
TNS
5 - 0
CEF
82%
13%
6%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
HAV
2 - 1
TNS
13%
19%
68%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TNS
0 - 0
BAL
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 1
PEN
87%
10%
4%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | -9 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 2
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 2
CAE
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
FLI
0 - 2
CAE
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 2
ABE
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 1
NEW
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |