The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 4
TNS
15%
21%
64%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 6
TNS
17%
21%
62%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 7
TNS
11%
19%
69%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 0
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
TNS
3 - 1
BAL
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
CAE
4 - 1
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
CON
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
4 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
BAL
49%
23%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
28%
23%
49%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |