The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 0
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 5
TNS
8%
14%
78%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 1
TNS
22%
23%
55%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TNS
3 - 0
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
TNS
6 - 1
LLA
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 3
CAE
38%
24%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 0
CON
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 3
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 0
CAE
52%
22%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CAE
2 - 2
BAL
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |