The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
ABE
1 - 2
TNS
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
TNS
6 - 1
PRE
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
CON
2 - 2
TNS
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TNS
4 - 0
ELG
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
FLI
1 - 5
TNS
4%
10%
85%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 2
CAE
18%
20%
63%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CAE
5 - 1
LEX
78%
13%
9%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
HOL
0 - 3
CAE
19%
20%
61%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CAE
7 - 0
QPA
84%
11%
6%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
CAE
3 - 0
RTW
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |