The New Saints vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 3
TNS
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
CEF
0 - 2
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
TNS
4 - 0
CEF
78%
14%
7%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CON
0 - 3
TNS
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
RHY
1 - 2
TNS
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 3
BAR
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
PEN
66%
19%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
UND
1 - 2
BAR
15%
23%
63%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 1
BAR
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
TAF
77%
15%
9%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |