The New Saints vs Bangor City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
TNS
16%
24%
60%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 0
TNS
22%
25%
54%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
TNS
0 - 0
LLA
54%
23%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
TNS
4 - 1
PRE
83%
12%
6%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
LID
1 - 3
TNS
15%
24%
60%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BAN
4 - 1
LID
83%
12%
6%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
AIR
2 - 3
BAN
19%
22%
59%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 0
BAN
14%
20%
66%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAN
7 - 1
ABE
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NEW
3 - 2
BAN
15%
20%
65%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |