The New Saints vs Bangor City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
TNS
22%
26%
53%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TNS
1 - 1
LLA
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 0
TNS
17%
22%
62%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 4
TNS
26%
24%
49%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
TNS
2 - 1
PRE
87%
9%
4%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
NEA
1 - 3
BAN
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
4 - 2
BAL
81%
13%
7%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 2
LLA
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
PRE
0 - 4
BAN
12%
20%
69%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 3
TNS
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |