The New Saints vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
6º
1º
40
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
TNS
7 - 0
NEW
55%
20%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
FLI
1 - 8
TNS
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TNS
3 - 1
HAV
76%
15%
10%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 1
TNS
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
AIR
0 - 8
TNS
10%
19%
71%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
PON
83%
12%
6%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CON
53%
24%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
PON
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
BAL
12%
21%
66%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |