The New Saints vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 5
TNS
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TNS
2 - 1
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 2
TNS
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TNS
5 - 1
BAL
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TNS
4 - 0
BAN
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
NEW
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 1
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 2
TNS
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TNS
5 - 1
BAL
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 0
CEF
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |