The New Saints vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BAN
1 - 0
TNS
55%
22%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TNS
3 - 0
CAR
78%
15%
8%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
POR
0 - 3
TNS
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
TNS
6 - 0
BAN
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
TNS
3 - 0
PRE
78%
14%
8%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
AIR
2 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
AIR
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
AIR
4 - 1
PRE
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
AIR
2 - 0
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 0
AIR
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |