The New Saints vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
TNS
2 - 2
QUE
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 3
TNS
21%
23%
57%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TNS
6 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
TNS
41%
26%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
MID
3 - 1
TNS
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
ABE
3 - 1
LLA
69%
18%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 3
ABE
38%
22%
40%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
ABE
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 4
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 0
LLA
61%
21%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +2 |