The New Saints vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TNS
4 - 0
AIR
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
TNS
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
TNS
4 - 1
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 2
RHY
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LLA
3 - 4
TNS
21%
24%
54%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AIR
2 - 0
ABE
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
RHY
2 - 2
ABE
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 4
LLA
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -4 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ABE
0 - 4
TNS
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
ABE
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |