Mount St. Mary's vs Merrimack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
66.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mount St. Mary's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
CCU
2 - 2
MMM
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Merrimack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
MMW
2 - 1
FBT
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |