Thaon vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
80.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 0
THA
55%
22%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
THA
3 - 1
AMN
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
THA
3 - 0
VIE
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
RCE
2 - 2
THA
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
THA
2 - 2
SAI
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
NIO
1 - 0
VAL
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 0
PFC
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
BEZ
1 - 1
VAL
40%
26%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
VAL
3 - 1
DUN
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
VAL
4 - 2
LEN
27%
26%
48%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |