Thaon vs Troyes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
THA
0 - 3
COL
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
VES
2 - 0
THA
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
THA
3 - 0
SCH
34%
26%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
THA
2 - 3
VES
25%
26%
49%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BSU
3 - 3
THA
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LUN
0 - 3
TRO
30%
24%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
3 - 1
FOR
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SAI
2 - 2
TRO
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 2
COL
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ILL
1 - 1
TRO
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |