Thaon vs Strasbourg Koenigshoffen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
12º
7º
16
6º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 51 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 41 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
17% | 62.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PON
0 - 0
THA
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
THA
3 - 4
BRC
39%
27%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
THA
0 - 0
COL
27%
25%
49%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
THA
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
THA
1 - 1
BFC
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 3
COL
23%
24%
54%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
OBE
60%
19%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 3
BFC
36%
23%
42%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
OBE
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 1
SOC
30%
23%
46%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |