Thaon vs RC Épernay Champagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
7º
5º
24
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
THA
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
THA
4 - 0
JAR
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
THA
2 - 1
MEZ
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NAN
1 - 1
THA
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
THA
1 - 3
SAR
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
RC Épernay Champagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JAR
0 - 3
RCE
43%
23%
35%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
RCE
1 - 2
MEZ
43%
25%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RCE
0 - 0
REI
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
STR
2 - 1
RCE
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
RCE
6 - 1
AMN
66%
19%
14%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |