Thaon vs Raon-l'Etape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
12º
7º
10
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 51 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 41 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
17% | 87% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LUN
0 - 4
THA
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
THA
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 2
THA
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
THA
1 - 3
OBE
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PON
0 - 0
THA
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
RAO
0 - 1
MET
5%
14%
81%
|
37 | 80 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
RAO
1 - 1
BIE
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
RAO
37%
23%
41%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
RAO
2 - 4
BFC
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 4
RAO
31%
22%
47%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |