Thaon vs Nancy II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
13º
4º
35
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
THA
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MET
2 - 1
THA
17%
19%
63%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
THA
3 - 0
SAR
33%
23%
45%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
THA
0 - 1
AMI
7%
15%
77%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
THA
1 - 2
OBE
71%
17%
13%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 1
SAR
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 4
NAN
34%
22%
44%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 1
REI
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
RAO
1 - 5
NAN
61%
20%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 1
MET
40%
23%
36%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |