Thaon vs Lunéville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
THA
0 - 1
SOC
9%
18%
73%
|
28 | 76 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
RCE
1 - 3
THA
64%
20%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 3
THA
54%
23%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
THA
1 - 1
DIJ
27%
25%
48%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 1
THA
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lunéville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
LUN
1 - 0
FOR
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SAI
1 - 2
LUN
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LUN
1 - 1
COL
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ILL
3 - 0
LUN
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LUN
3 - 0
STP
28%
23%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +4 |