Thaon vs Jarville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
THA
57%
23%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
THA
0 - 2
SAI
33%
24%
42%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
THA
59%
22%
20%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
THA
0 - 1
ILL
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
THA
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Jarville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
JAR
3 - 4
RCE
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
JAR
45%
24%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
JAR
0 - 2
DIJ
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAI
3 - 2
JAR
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
JAR
8 - 0
STE
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |