Thaon vs Illkirch Graffenstaden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 2
THA
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
THA
0 - 1
COL
11%
20%
69%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
THA
0 - 0
MEZ
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NAN
1 - 2
THA
36%
24%
41%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TRO
3 - 1
THA
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Illkirch Graffenstaden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ILL
5 - 3
RCE
40%
23%
37%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ILL
1 - 1
FCM
25%
22%
54%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
COL
3 - 0
ILL
89%
9%
2%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ILL
1 - 3
NAN
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MEZ
0 - 0
ILL
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |