Thaon vs Métropole Troyenne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
13º
4º
12
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 2
THA
20%
20%
60%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
REI
0 - 2
THA
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RAO
1 - 0
THA
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
THA
2 - 1
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 3
THA
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Métropole Troyenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MET
0 - 1
SAR
20%
19%
61%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
REI
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
THL
3 - 0
MET
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 0
MET
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MET
0 - 3
REI
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -2 |