Thaon vs Colmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
12º
7º
24
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
24 | 51 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 41 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 38.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
17% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
THA
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
THA
1 - 1
BFC
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 2
THA
30%
22%
47%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
THA
0 - 1
SOC
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
THA
1 - 4
MEZ
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
BRC
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
COL
4 - 0
STR
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 1
COL
13%
21%
66%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
COL
1 - 3
SAR
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
ASN
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |