Thaon vs Besancon RC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
12º
7º
30
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 51 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 41 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 52.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
17% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
THA
0 - 0
COL
27%
25%
49%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
THA
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
THA
1 - 1
BFC
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 2
THA
30%
22%
47%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
THA
0 - 1
SOC
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Besancon RC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BRC
0 - 0
JUR
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
BRC
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRC
1 - 1
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 2
BRC
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BRC
2 - 1
RAO
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |