Alcantarilla FC vs UCAM Murcia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
14º
14º
39
5º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcantarilla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RMC
1 - 0
ALC
68%
20%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAR
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 1
ALC
63%
21%
16%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 0
IMP
26%
25%
50%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 0
ALC
59%
23%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UCA
4 - 1
BUL
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UCA
0 - 1
CIE
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RMC
2 - 0
UCA
49%
25%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UCA
2 - 1
CAR
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 1
UCA
37%
25%
37%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |