Alcantarilla FC vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcantarilla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AFC
4 - 1
ALC
56%
23%
21%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ALG
0 - 1
ALC
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 1
ATL
68%
19%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CDB
4 - 1
ALC
48%
24%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDA
26%
24%
50%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALG
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 2
VIL
5%
13%
82%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
CDB
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CDA
1 - 2
VIL
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
ARC
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |