FC Giessen vs Barockstadt analysis


39	ELO	33
1.1%	Tilt	11.6%
4358º	General ELO ranking	3970º
133º	Country ELO ranking	119º
ELO win probability

61.4%

FC Giessen

18.8%

Draw

19.8%

Barockstadt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

61.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%

18.8%

Draw

0-0

2.5%

1-1

7.7%

2-2

6.1%

3-3

2.1%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

0.1%

0

18.8%

19.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+19%

+7%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Giessen

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
14 Aug. 2018	FVB 1 - 3 GIE 13% 16% 71%	37	23	14	0
10 Aug. 2018	ROT 1 - 3 GIE 22% 21% 57%	37	26	11	0
04 Aug. 2018	GIE 6 - 0 VIK 87% 10% 4%	36	16	20	+1
28 Jul. 2018	GIE 1 - 0 WAL 76% 15% 10%	36	23	13	0
19 May. 2018	EDE 0 - 4 GIE 10% 16% 75%	36	17	19	0