Teutonia Ottensen vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
18º
14º
21
9º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 58 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 56 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 34 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 33 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 31 |
18º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
15.5% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Teutonia Ottensen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
BWL
1 - 1
OTT
48%
24%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
OTT
1 - 9
FCP
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MEP
4 - 0
OTT
66%
19%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 4
OTT
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
OTT
3 - 0
HAV
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
VFB
2 - 0
EIN
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VFB
1 - 1
HAV
31%
25%
45%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 1
VFB
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
VFB
0 - 1
JED
58%
21%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 2
VFB
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |