SC St. Tönis vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
60.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
11º
18º
11º
70
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC St. Tönis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 1
TEU
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TEU
2 - 1
KFC
17%
19%
64%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +4 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
4 - 2
TEU
65%
19%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TEU
0 - 3
FCB
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 0
TEU
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SFB
7 - 1
DJK
90%
7%
3%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 3
SFB
26%
21%
53%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
3 - 1
MEE
62%
19%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
1 - 2
SFB
59%
21%
21%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 0
SON
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |