Tesorillo vs Roteña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+105%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tesorillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
UDT
1 - 0
GUA
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
UDT
4 - 1
UDT
19%
22%
60%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
UDT
7 - 1
CHI
48%
22%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CDV
2 - 3
UDT
56%
22%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
UDT
7 - 1
JSA
74%
15%
12%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Roteña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
UDR
0 - 2
SRO
24%
23%
53%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 0
UDR
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
UDR
1 - 2
LAP
22%
22%
56%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
VIS
4 - 1
UDR
70%
19%
11%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
UDR
2 - 1
TOR
26%
24%
50%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |