Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 3-1
CD Teruel vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Teruel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TER
2 - 0
BEL
78%
15%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
EPI
1 - 1
TER
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
TER
2 - 5
CFA
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
UBC
1 - 2
TER
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SDB
0 - 0
TER
25%
26%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 2
UBC
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
UBC
3 - 1
MOR
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
UBC
1 - 2
TER
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ATT
1 - 1
UBC
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
UBC
4 - 1
YUN
82%
13%
5%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |