Terre Sainte vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Terre Sainte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ECH
2 - 2
TER
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TER
3 - 0
BUL
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
TER
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
STA
0 - 0
TER
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
TER
1 - 1
FCL
75%
16%
10%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
THU
2 - 0
YOU
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NAT
3 - 1
THU
37%
23%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
THU
1 - 1
DUD
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
THU
0 - 3
GRA
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCG
1 - 3
THU
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |