Ternopil' vs Desna Chernihiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
48.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternopil'
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
AVA
2 - 0
TER
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
TER
0 - 2
KOL
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SUM
1 - 1
TER
51%
24%
24%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
TER
1 - 0
SST
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
FCV
4 - 2
TER
44%
27%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
DES
0 - 0
FCV
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
BUK
0 - 1
DES
25%
30%
45%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
DES
1 - 1
HEL
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
HEL
0 - 1
DES
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
CHD
1 - 0
DES
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |